In the News

HKU professor Gabriel Leung estimates COVID-19 death rate at 1.4%

6 Mar, 2020

Professor Gabriel Leung is the Chair Professor of Public Health Medicine at Faculty of Medicine, the University of Hong Kong, and Founding Director of the WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control. His team estimates the clinical severity amongst symptomatic cases from the transmission dynamics in Wuhan and releases case fatality risk of COVID-19 today.

  • Gabriel Leung said the estimated mortality rate (case fatality risk = number of death /number of infected & symptomatic cases) of the new coronavirus from his team’s mathematical model is about 1.4 percent.
  • Prof Leung said the mortality rate in elderly people is relatively higher, and the chance of dying from the virus for patients above the age of 70 is three times higher than for the rest.
  • Before a reliable vaccine is widely available, every one has a chance of being infected.

Full presentation

University of Hong Kong faculty of medicine dean, Gabriel Leung
Professor Gabriel Leung and Professor Joseph Wu, Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, HKUMed, at the press conference. Photo: Faculty of Medicine, HKU

Read more

WHO-China Joint Mission on COVID-19 released fact-finding report with wide-ranging recommendations

[NPR] Hong Kong Has Contained Coronavirus So Far — But At A Significant Cost

[China Daily] HKU expert: COVID-19 fatality rate at 1.4%

Show More

Related Articles

Back to top button